Linear classification tikhonov regularization knowledge‐based support vector machine for tornado forecasting

A knowledge-based linear Tihkonov regularization classification model for tornado discrimination is presented. Twenty-three attributes, based on the National Severe Storms Laboratory’s Mesoscale Detection Algorithm, are used as prior knowledge. Threshold values for these attributes are employed to discriminate the data into two classes (tornado, non-tornado). The Weather Surveillance Radar 1998 Doppler is used as a source of data streaming every 6 min. The combination of data and prior knowledge is used in the development of a least squares problem that can be solved using matrix or iterative methods. Advantages of this formulation include explicit expressions for the classification weights of the classifier and its ability to incorporate and handle prior knowledge directly to the classifiers. Comparison of the present approach to that of Fung et al. (2002), over a suite of forecast evaluation indices, demonstrates that the Tikhonov regularization model is superior for discriminating tornadic from non-tornadic storms.