Conditional value‐at‐risk in portfolio optimization: Coherent but fragile

Conditional value‐at‐risk in portfolio optimization: Coherent but fragile

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Article ID: iaor20115251
Volume: 39
Issue: 3
Start Page Number: 163
End Page Number: 171
Publication Date: May 2011
Journal: Operations Research Letters
Authors: , ,
Keywords: portfolio optimization, value at risk
Abstract:

We evaluate conditional value‐at‐risk (CVaR) as a risk measure in data‐driven portfolio optimization. We show that portfolios obtained by solving mean‐CVaR and global minimum CVaR problems are unreliable due to estimation errors of CVaR and/or the mean, which are magnified by optimization. This problem is exacerbated when the tail of the return distribution is made heavier. We conclude that CVaR, a coherent risk measure, is fragile in portfolio optimization due to estimation errors.

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