Lumpy demand forecasting using neural networks

Lumpy demand forecasting using neural networks

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Article ID: iaor2009740
Country: Netherlands
Volume: 111
Issue: 2
Start Page Number: 409
End Page Number: 420
Publication Date: Jan 2008
Journal: International Journal of Production Economics
Authors: , ,
Keywords: neural networks
Abstract:

The current study applies neural network (NN) modeling in forecasting lumpy demand. It is, to the best of our knowledge, the first such study. Our study compares the performance of NN forecasts to those using three traditional time-series methods (single exponential smoothing, Croston's method, and the Syntetos–Boylan approximation). We find NN models to generally perform better than the traditional methods, using three different performance measures.

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