Article ID: | iaor2009740 |
Country: | Netherlands |
Volume: | 111 |
Issue: | 2 |
Start Page Number: | 409 |
End Page Number: | 420 |
Publication Date: | Jan 2008 |
Journal: | International Journal of Production Economics |
Authors: | Gutierrez Rafael S., Solis Adriano O., Mukhopadhyay Somnath |
Keywords: | neural networks |
The current study applies neural network (NN) modeling in forecasting lumpy demand. It is, to the best of our knowledge, the first such study. Our study compares the performance of NN forecasts to those using three traditional time-series methods (single exponential smoothing, Croston's method, and the Syntetos–Boylan approximation). We find NN models to generally perform better than the traditional methods, using three different performance measures.