Rare event RESTART simulation of two-stage networks

Rare event RESTART simulation of two-stage networks

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Article ID: iaor2009704
Country: Netherlands
Volume: 179
Issue: 1
Start Page Number: 148
End Page Number: 159
Publication Date: May 2007
Journal: European Journal of Operational Research
Authors:
Keywords: simulation: applications
Abstract:

REpetitive Simulation Trials After Reaching Thresholds (RESTART) is a widely applied accelerated simulation technique that allows the evaluation of extremely low probabilities. In this method a number of simulation retrials are performed when the process enters regions of the state space where the chance of occurrence of the rare event is higher. Formulas for evaluating the optimal number of regions and retrials as well as guidelines for obtaining suitable importance functions were provided in previous papers. Nevertheless, further investigations are required to apply these guidelines to practical cases. In this paper, we obtain efficient importance functions for networks with two stages and different nodes in each stage.

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