Integrating the fuzzy analytic hierarchy process with dynamic programming approach for determining the optimal forest management decisions

Integrating the fuzzy analytic hierarchy process with dynamic programming approach for determining the optimal forest management decisions

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Article ID: iaor2009427
Country: Netherlands
Volume: 194
Issue: 1/3
Start Page Number: 296
End Page Number: 305
Publication Date: Mar 2006
Journal: Ecological Modelling
Authors:
Keywords: analytic hierarchy process, programming: dynamic, fuzzy sets, artificial intelligence: decision support
Abstract:

The paper considers a forest management problem, which consists of decisions on investment, silvicultural and harvesting activities for an existing forestland over a long time horizon, while guaranteeing sustainability, maximizing the expected profit, referring to ecological objectives and the public's acceptance of decisions. In order to solve this problem, several decision support systems and models were developed. Here, we present a fuzzy, dynamic and multi-objective model for optimal forest management, which determines the sequence of decisions that jointly maximizes economic, ecological and social objectives, respects prescribed constraints and imprecision, and takes the forest system from its existing state to the goal state. The idea of fuzzy analytic hierarchy process is introduced within a discrete dynamic programming process to evaluate the conflicting objectives.

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