Approximate solutions of a dynamic forecast–inventory model

Approximate solutions of a dynamic forecast–inventory model

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Article ID: iaor20083568
Country: United States
Volume: 8
Issue: 4
Start Page Number: 407
End Page Number: 425
Publication Date: Sep 2006
Journal: Manufacturing & Service Operations Management
Authors: ,
Keywords: forecasting: applications
Abstract:

In this paper we consider a dynamic forecast–inventory model with forecast updates, based on the martingale model of forecast evolution. Two types of updates are considered, additive and multiplicative. The formulation of the model results in a dynamic program with multidimensional state space. We derive some characteristics of optimal policies and also develop a computational approach to obtain approximate solutions. The approach is based on simulation and function approximation.

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