Article ID: | iaor20081487 |
Country: | United States |
Volume: | 36 |
Issue: | 6 |
Start Page Number: | 530 |
End Page Number: | 544 |
Publication Date: | Nov 2006 |
Journal: | Interfaces |
Authors: | Salmern Javier, Wood Kevin, Brown Gerald, Carlyle Matthew |
Keywords: | terrorism |
We apply new bilevel and trilevel optimization models to make critical infrastructure more resilient against terrorist attacks. Each model features an intelligent attacker (terrorists) and a defender (us), information transparency, and sequential actions by attacker and defender. We illustrate with examples of the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve, the US Border Patrol at Yuma, Arizona, and an electrical transmission system. We conclude by reporting insights gained from the modeling experience and many ‘red-team’ exercises. Each exercise gathers open-source data on a real-world infrastructure system, develops an appropriate bilevel or trilevel model, and uses these to identify vulnerabilities in the system or to plan an optimal defense.