Dynamic models of commuter behavior: Experimental investigation and application to the analysis of planned traffic disruptions

Dynamic models of commuter behavior: Experimental investigation and application to the analysis of planned traffic disruptions

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Article ID: iaor19911632
Country: United States
Volume: 24A
Issue: 6
Start Page Number: 465
End Page Number: 484
Publication Date: Nov 1990
Journal: Transportation Research. Part A, Policy and Practice
Authors:
Abstract:

This paper reviews the results of a series of experiments aimed at investigating the day-to-day dynamics of commuter behavior in congested traffic systems. The interactive experiments involve actual work commuters in a simulated traffic system, whereby commuters noncooperatively supply their decisions to a traffic simulation model that determines the resulting arrival times and associated trip times; these in turn form the basis of the commuters’ decisions on the next day. Models are developed to predict the daily switching of departure time and/or route by individual commuters in response to experienced congestion in the system or to exogenously supplied information. These models are incorporated in a dynamic modelling framework for the analysis of the impacts of planned traffic disruptions, such as those associated with major highway repair and reconstruction activities.

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