A simulation optimization approach in production planning of failure prone manufacturing systems

In this paper, the implementation of a new method to control the production rate of manufacturing systems, based on the combination of stochastic optimal control theory, discrete event simulation, experimental design and response surface methodology is outlined. The system under study consists of several parallel machines, multiple-product manufacturing system. Machines are subject to failures and repairs and their capacity process is assumed to be a finite state Markov chain throughout the analytical control model. The problem is to choose the production rates so as to minimize the expected discounted cost of inventory/backlog over an infinite horizon. We first show that, for constant demand rates and exponential failure and repair times distributions of the machines, the hedging point policy is optimal. The structure of the hedging point policy is then parameterized by factors representing the thresholds of involved products. With such a policy, simulation experiments are combined to experimental design and response surface methodology to estimate the optimal control policy. We obtain that the hedging point policy is also applicable to a wide variety of complex problems including non-exponential failure and repair times distributions and random demand rates. Analytical solutions may not be easily obtained for such complex situations.