Modeling of economic uncertainty

Modeling of economic uncertainty

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Article ID: iaor20062690
Country: Spain
Volume: 9
Issue: 2
Start Page Number: 49
End Page Number: 73
Publication Date: Nov 2004
Journal: Fuzzy Economic Review
Authors:
Keywords: fuzzy sets
Abstract:

Representation and modeling of economic uncertainty is addressed by different modeling methods, namely stochastic variables and probabilities (including Monte Carlo simulation), interval analysis, and fuzzy numbers, in particular triple and quadruple estimates. Focusing on discounted cash flow analysis numerical results are presented, comparisons are made between alternative modeling methods, and characteristics of the methods are discussed.

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