Integrated shrub management in semi-arid woodlands of eastern Australia: A systems-based decision support model

What is causing the increasing densities of native shrubs, or so-called ‘woody weeds’, in some semi-arid pastoral lands and how might they be most effectively managed? This question has been on the rangeland policy agenda in Australia for more than one hundred years. This paper describes a fresh examination of this question using a systems approach. A key component of the approach involved ‘mapping the problem’. Using a systems-based approach, landholders developed four system diagrams broadly describing the ecology of woody weed re-occurrence, control options, property economics and management constraints with diagrams identifying how different factors related to, or influenced, each other. Agency personnel also constructed a system diagram describing institutional and regulatory constraints, and their interactions. Later, all these system diagrams formed the basis for an adaptive management model with capabilities for developing and quantitatively evaluating alternative management strategies relating to woody weeds. This model is called the Woody Weed Planner. The Woody Weed Planner contains mathematical relationships developed through field experimentation over the last 25–50 years covering the ecology of woody weeds, control options and control economics. These relationships enable the user to generate mathematical responses as a result of changing model parameters. A key component of the model is the ability to simulate the effects of alternative management responses given different rainfall scenarios. To enable this to occur, the Planner allows the user to replay historical rainfall patterns and ask the question ‘what impact will these have on woody weeds, stocking rates and economic performance on my property?’