Transitions between care provisions demanded by Dutch elderly

We follow people who are considered eligible for an elderly care provision. Through the estimation of a duration model we determine when they can be expected to express demand for another care provision. Data are drawn from the registrations of needs assessment agencies in the Netherlands. Main findings: Age positively affects the probability of a reassessment if initially care at home was assessed. Living alone, access to informal care, and applications initiated by professionals increase transition probabilities. Also initial applications for care at home due to dementia are more likely to be followed by a quick reassessment. The results can aid assessment agencies to set validity terms of assessments, and in planning future supply of services.