Article ID: | iaor2005232 |
Country: | Netherlands |
Volume: | 18 |
Issue: | 4 |
Start Page Number: | 545 |
End Page Number: | 559 |
Publication Date: | Oct 2002 |
Journal: | International Journal of Forecasting |
Authors: | Kridel Donald J., Rappoport Paul N., Taylor Lester D. |
Keywords: | forecasting: applications |
Competition in the long-distance market in the US continues to intensify; the 1996 Telecommunications Act has led to increased competition in long-distance telephony especially as the Regional Bell Operating Companies have begun to gain entry to long-haul, long-distance markets. In order to better understand the implications of having increased service offerings, models of how customers choose between carriers (and the impact of this choice on subsequent usage) will be useful. We develop the first publicly available models that simultaneously estimate choice and usage for intraLATA long-distance in the US. Utilizing a generalized Tobit model, the price responsiveness of usage and carrier choice are estimated. The results are generally consistent with expectations both in terms of theory and of practical experience in the industry.