Article ID: | iaor2005141 |
Country: | United States |
Volume: | 6 |
Issue: | 2 |
Start Page Number: | 184 |
End Page Number: | 194 |
Publication Date: | Mar 2004 |
Journal: | Manufacturing & Service Operations Management |
Authors: | Swaminathan Jayashankar M., Kaminsky Philip |
Keywords: | forecasting: applications, heuristics |
In this paper, we extend forecast band evolution and capacitated production modelling to the multiperiod demand case. In this model, forecasts of discrete demand for any period are modelled as bands and defined by lower and upper bounds on demand, such that future forecasts lie within the current band. We develop heuristics that utilize knowledge of demand forecast evolution to make production decisions in capacitated production planning environments. In our computational study we explore the efficiency of our heuristics, and also explore the impact of seasonality on demand and availability of information updates.