Article ID: | iaor20042905 |
Country: | South Korea |
Volume: | 28 |
Issue: | 2 |
Start Page Number: | 105 |
End Page Number: | 128 |
Publication Date: | Jun 2003 |
Journal: | Journal of the Korean ORMS Society |
Authors: | Lee Ki-Dong |
Keywords: | finance & banking, datamining |
In this paper, four different data mining techniques, two neural networks and two statistical modeling techniques, are compared in terms of prediction accuracy in the context of bankruptcy prediction. In business setting, how to accurately detect the condition of a firm has been an important event in the literature. In neural networks, Backpropagation (BP) network and the Kohonen self-organizing feature map, are selected and compared each other while in statistical modeling techniques, discriminant analysis and logistic regression are also performed to provide performance benchmarks for the neural network experiment. The findings suggest that the BP network is a better choice among the data mining tools compared. This paper also identified some distinctive characteristics of Kohonen self-organizing feature map.