Compatible measures and merging

Compatible measures and merging

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Article ID: iaor20041374
Country: United States
Volume: 21
Issue: 3
Start Page Number: 697
End Page Number: 706
Publication Date: Aug 1996
Journal: Mathematics of Operations Research
Authors: ,
Keywords: measurement
Abstract:

Two measures, μ and &mutilde;, are updated as more information arrives. If with μ-probability 1, the predictions of future events according to both measures become close, as time passes, we say that &mutilde; merges to μ. Blackwell and Dubins showed that if μ is absolutely continuous with respect to &mutilde; then &mutilde; merges to μ. Restricting the definition to prediction of near future events and to a full sequence of times yields the new notion of almost weak merging (AWM), presented here. We introduce a necessary and sufficient condition and show many cases with no absolute continuity that exhibit AWM. We show, for instance, that the fact that &mutilde; is diffused around μ implies AWM.

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