Relationship between crash rate and hourly traffic flow on interurban motorways

The paper describes the relationship between crash incidence rates and hourly traffic volume and discusses the influence of traffic on crash severity, based on observations made on 2000 km of French interurban motorways over 2 years. Incidence rates involving property damage-only crashes and injury-crashes are highest when traffic is lightest (under 400 vehicles/h). These incidence rates are at their lowest when traffic flows at a rate of 1000–1500 vehicles/h. For heavier traffic flows, crash incidence rates increase steadily as traffic increases on 2- and 3-lane motorways and inflect on 2-lane motorways when traffic increases to a level of 3000 vehicles/h. For an equivalent light traffic level, the number of crashes is higher on three-lane than on 2-lane motorways and higher at weekends (when truck traffic is restricted) than on weekdays. In heavy traffic, the number of crashes is higher on weekdays. We found no significant difference between the number of daytime and night-time crashes, whatever the traffic. No difference was observed in crash severity by number of lanes or period in the week for a given level of traffic. However, severity is greater at night and when hourly traffic is light. Compared to the number of vehicles on the road, light traffic is a safety problem in terms of frequency and severity, and road safety campaigns targeting motorway users to influence their behavior in these driving conditions should be introduced.