Electric load forecasting: Literature survey and classification of methods

Electric load forecasting: Literature survey and classification of methods

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Article ID: iaor20032874
Country: United States
Volume: 33
Issue: 1
Start Page Number: 23
End Page Number: 34
Publication Date: Jan 2002
Journal: International Journal of Systems Science
Authors: ,
Keywords: forecasting: applications
Abstract:

A review and categorization of electric load forecasting techniques is presented. A wide range of methodologies and models for forecasting are given in the literature. These techniques are classified here into nine categories: (1) multiple regression, (2) exponential smoothing, (3) iterative reweighted least-squares, (4) adaptive load forecasting, (5) stochastic time series, (6) ARMAX models based on genetic algorithms, (7) fuzzy logic, (8) neural networks and (9) expert systems. The methodology for each category is briefly described, the advantages and disadvantages discussed, and the pertinent literature reviewed. Conclusions and comments are made on future research directions.

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