Large-sample normality of the batch-means variance estimator

Large-sample normality of the batch-means variance estimator

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Article ID: iaor20031674
Country: Netherlands
Volume: 30
Issue: 5
Start Page Number: 319
End Page Number: 326
Publication Date: Oct 2002
Journal: Operations Research Letters
Authors: ,
Abstract:

Consider a stationary stochastic process, X1,X2,..., arising from a steady-state simulation. An important problem is that of estimating the expected value μ of the process. The usual estimator for μ is the sample mean based on n observations, &Xmacr;n, and a measure of the precision of &Xmacr;n is the variance parameter, σ2=limn→∞n Var[&Xmacr;n]. This paper studies asymptotic properties of the batch-means estimator &Vcirc;B(b,m) for σ2 as both the batch size m and number of batches b become large. In particular, we give conditions for &Vcirc;B(b,m) to converge to normality as m and b increase. Empirical examples illustrate our findings.

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