Exploring a relationship between tactical intelligence and battle results

Provided that current doctrine and organization remain the same for a Battalion Task Force, to what degree does increased intelligence information translate into successful land combat operations? Results that we report here suggest a surprisingly modest gain. Of particular interest is the relative small increase in measurable results observed between operations conducted with intelligence products that units can currently expect to have and those operations conducted with ‘perfect’ intelligence information. Additionally, this paper proposes a new measure of effectiveness for measuring how much information one has about his opponent. The experiment and the methodology have received much acclaim from the joint Staff, J6 that doctrine and organization must co-evolve with technology in order to receive order of magnitude gains in effectiveness and that additional research using our methodology would be very helpful.