Exploring threat intent measures for system evaluation

Exploring Threat Intent Measures for System Evaluation evolved from an effort to evaluate manned reconnaissance systems in a combat simulation. Specifically, the TRACER program is a joint US/UK development program to field the next generation scout vehicle. The vehicle is projected to cost on the order of 3 to 7 million dollars per copy. Lockheed Martin Missiles and Fire Control in conjunction with several partners developed a technical proposal for a concept development effort for TRACER. The value of target information as viewed in context by a human is typically not captured in a combat simulation. This value is generally related to the persistence and quality of the human observation. The article explores measures of this military intelligence meaningful to field commanders involved in the acquisition.