Macroeconomic models for long-term energy and emissions in India

Macroeconomic models for long-term energy and emissions in India

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Article ID: iaor2002268
Country: India
Volume: 38
Issue: 1
Start Page Number: 87
End Page Number: 108
Publication Date: Feb 2001
Journal: OPSEARCH
Authors: ,
Keywords: geography & environment, developing countries
Abstract:

The complex dynamics between energy, emissions and economy have increasingly attracted modelling studies over the past decade. In this paper, we briefly describe two top-down models that were adapted for India and show some key results from them. Working with more than one model gives us a better understanding of the differences in model structures and puts us in a good position for appreciating the differences in results from these models due to this fact. We project the long-term energy and emission trajectories from the global model and the national model and come to a conclusion that India's energy system will remain largely dependent on coal in BAU case and is open to change under a regime of carbon taxes towards less carbon-emitting fuels like gas and renewables. Carbon tax reduces carbon dioxide emissions but there is also a loss of GDP.

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