Economic models and the relevance of ‘chaotic regions’: An application to Goodwin's growth cycle model

Economic models and the relevance of ‘chaotic regions’: An application to Goodwin's growth cycle model

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Article ID: iaor20013968
Country: Netherlands
Volume: 89
Start Page Number: 3
End Page Number: 19
Publication Date: Jun 1999
Journal: Annals of Operations Research
Authors:
Keywords: chaos
Abstract:

In this paper, we argue that Pohjola's one-dimensional, discrete-time version of Goodwin's growth cycle model is based on assumptions that conflict with the ‘symbiotic-conflictual’ spirit of the model. It is shown that when the assumption about the dynamical real wage is modified, in contrast with Pohjola's opinion, the likelihood of chaotic solutions does not increase. In particular, when a discrete-time Phillips curve is considered, the model becomes two-dimensional, but admits chaotic solutions only for parameter values which are not within economically reasonable values.

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