Why a decision maker may prefer a seemingly unfair gamble

Why a decision maker may prefer a seemingly unfair gamble

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Article ID: iaor20012625
Country: United States
Volume: 27
Issue: 2
Start Page Number: 239
End Page Number: 253
Publication Date: Mar 1996
Journal: Decision Sciences
Authors: , , ,
Abstract:

It is generally believed that risk-averse managers will not accept unfair gambles and therefore may not have the incentive to invest in high-risk projects, products or technology. This paper argues that this is not necessarily so. Rational, risk-averse managers with sufficient preference for positive skewness may undertake projects with payoff distributions that are unfair gambles. Furthermore, the minimum required payoff is shown to be less for managers with preference for positive skewness than otherwise. Thus, a risk-averse manager with preference for positive skewness may accept potentially innovative high-risk projects that are rejected by those without such preference.

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