Simulated variance optimization for robust design

A method to aid robust design in the presence of design parameter uncertainty is described. For a given relationship between a performance measure (or output parameter) and the uncertain design parameters a probabilistic simulation is used to obtain the variance of the performance measure as a function of the nominal design parameter values. The optimum values of the latter are then obtained as those corresponding to a minimum of the computed variance, determined by means of a particular non-linear optimization algorithm in the presence of constraints. The latter are in the form of limits on the nominal values of the design parameters and a specified value for the performance measure at the nominal design point, i.e. the deterministic design target. Some problems inherent in this type of procedure are discussed and methods of solution are described. A specific example is studied and the results from the present method are compared with those previously obtained by use of another procedure.