A probabilistic model for interactive decision-making

A probabilistic model for interactive decision-making

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Article ID: iaor2001403
Country: Netherlands
Volume: 25
Issue: 4
Start Page Number: 289
End Page Number: 308
Publication Date: May 1999
Journal: Decision Support Systems
Authors: ,
Abstract:

A probabilistic reasoning model is defined where the decision maker (d.m.) is engaged in a sequential information-gathering process facing the trade-off between the reliability of the achieved solution and the associated observation cost. The d.m. is directly involved in the proposed flexible control strategy, which is based on information-theoretic principles. The devised strategy works on a Bayesian belief network that allows the efficient representation and manipulation of the knowledge base relevant to the problem domain. It is shown that this strategy guarantees a constant factor approximate solution with respect to the optimum of the decision problem. Some application examples are also discussed.

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