A process for generating quantitative belief functions

A process for generating quantitative belief functions

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Article ID: iaor20001636
Country: Netherlands
Volume: 115
Issue: 3
Start Page Number: 624
End Page Number: 633
Publication Date: Jun 1999
Journal: European Journal of Operational Research
Authors: ,
Keywords: belief functions
Abstract:

We present a structured methodology for transforming qualitative preference relationships among propositions into appropriate numeric representations. This approach will be useful in the difficult process of knowledge acquisition from experts on the degree of belief in various propositions or the probability of the truthfulness of those propositions. The approach implicitly (through the qualitative assignments) and explicitly (through the vague interval pairwise comparisons) provides for different levels of preference relationships. Among its advantages, it permits the expert to: explore the given problem situation, using linguistic quantifiers; avoid the premature use of numeric measures; and identify input data that are inconsistent with the theory of belief functions.

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