Effects on a corn–soybean farm of uncertainty about the future of farm programs

Effects on a corn–soybean farm of uncertainty about the future of farm programs

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Article ID: iaor2000856
Country: United States
Volume: 76
Issue: 1
Start Page Number: 141
End Page Number: 152
Publication Date: Jan 1994
Journal: American Journal of Agricultural Economics
Authors: ,
Keywords: programming: dynamic
Abstract:

Dynamic programming techniques are used to evaluate effects of uncertainty about continuation of farm programs on planting decisions during the last year of the 1990 Farm Bill. Results indicate farm-level decisions are affected by uncertainty only when the farmer's subjective probability of the continuation of farm programs is very low. The optimal value functions in different versions of the model can also be used to estimate the implicit value of base acreage.

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