Article ID: | iaor200059 |
Country: | Germany |
Volume: | 20 |
Issue: | 3 |
Start Page Number: | 155 |
End Page Number: | 164 |
Publication Date: | Jan 1998 |
Journal: | OR Spektrum |
Authors: | Kort P.M. |
Keywords: | programming: dynamic |
This paper examines irreversible decisions on innovative activities where it takes time to complete an R&D project. The total amount of R&D investments that the firm needs to undertake in order to obtain the breakthrough in the innovation process is uncertain. R&D investments are limited by the restriction that they must be self-financed. It is shown that R&D investments are more valuable when the level of uncertainty is large. Especially, it is very attractive to undertake R&D investments if a project faces many uncertainties during its early phases. Furthermore we study how R&D behavior is influenced by different levels of the discount rate and the financing limit. Moreover, the effects of R&D subsidies, spillover benefits and a payoff that decreases over time are analyzed.