Article ID: | iaor2000402 |
Country: | United States |
Volume: | 75 |
Issue: | 1/3 |
Start Page Number: | 264 |
End Page Number: | 274 |
Publication Date: | Jan 1994 |
Journal: | Physica D |
Authors: | Arthur W. Brian, Palmer R.G., Holland J.H., Lebaron B., Tayler P. |
Keywords: | economics |
We describe a model of a stockmarket in which independent adaptive agents can buy and sell stock on a central market. The overall market behavior, such as the stock price time series, is an emergent property of the agents' behavior. This approach to modelling a market is contrasted with conventional rational expectations approaches. Our model does not necessarily converge to an equilibrium, and can show bubbles, crashes, and continued high trading volume.