Article ID: | iaor19993242 |
Country: | Netherlands |
Volume: | 15 |
Issue: | 1 |
Start Page Number: | 1 |
End Page Number: | 9 |
Publication Date: | Jan 1999 |
Journal: | International Journal of Forecasting |
Authors: | Franses Philip Hans, Ghijsels Hendrik |
The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity [GARCH] model is often used for forecasting stock market volatility. It is frequently found, however, that estimated residuals from GARCH models have excess kurtosis, even when one allows for conditional