Decision making under partial probability information

Decision making under partial probability information

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Article ID: iaor1998536
Country: Netherlands
Volume: 79
Issue: 1
Start Page Number: 115
End Page Number: 122
Publication Date: Nov 1994
Journal: European Journal of Operational Research
Authors:
Keywords: decision theory
Abstract:

This paper proposes an approach to decision making under partial probability information that involves the use of linear programming (LP). The exact values of state probabilities are not required to construct and solve the LP model, therefore, the approach can be used in situations where exact state probability values cannot be specified but value ranges can be obtained. The LP solution of a decision problem identifies a set of strategies, called efficient strategies, for the given state probability value ranges. Strategies that are not efficient need not be considered further since they are dominated by efficient strategies. The LP model's ease of construction and solution makes it a viable alternative to the techniques currently used in decision analysis.

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