The average number of events per time unit and its estimation

The average number of events per time unit and its estimation

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Article ID: iaor19972624
Country: Germany
Volume: 44
Issue: 3
Start Page Number: 207
End Page Number: 221
Publication Date: Nov 1996
Journal: Metrika
Authors:
Abstract:

Let equ1 be the number of events which will be observed in the time interval equ2 and define equ3 as the average number of events per time unit if this limit exists. In the case of i.i.d. waiting-times between the events, equ4 is the renewal function and it follows from well-known results of renewal theory that A exists and is equal to equ5, if equ6 is the expectation of the waiting-times. This holds true also when equ7. A may be estimated by equ8 or equ9 where equ10 is the mean of the first n waiting-times equ11. Both estimators converge with probability 1 to equ12 if the equ13 are i.i.d.; but the expectation of equ14 may be infinite for all n and also if it is finite, equ15 is in general a positively biased estimator of A. For a stationary renewal process, equ16 is unbiased for each t; if the X i are i.i.d. with density equ17, then equ18 has this property only if equ19 is of the exponential type and only for this type the numbers of events in consecutive time intervals equ20 equ21 are i.i.d. random variables for arbitrary equ22.

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