An experiment on the evaluation of information under risk and ambiguity

An experiment on the evaluation of information under risk and ambiguity

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Article ID: iaor19972431
Country: Germany
Volume: 18
Issue: 3
Start Page Number: 179
End Page Number: 186
Publication Date: Jul 1996
Journal: OR Spektrum
Authors: ,
Abstract:

Assume a decision maker has a choice between several acts. Some of the alternatives are simple lotteries; others consist of gathering additional (costy) information on outcomes or probabilities of the available simple lotteries prior to making a binding choice between them. In this paper hypotheses are derived from the Choquet Expected Utility model about the relationship between the degree of ambiguity aversion and the willingness-to-pay for information revealing the outcome of simple two-state-lotteries. These hypotheses are tested experimentally. 157 students are asked to state their willingness-to-pay for information, revealing the true payment relevant state, before making choices between a certain amount of money and two-state-lotteries of varying degrees of ambiguity. In the experiment the pessimism predicted by the Choquet Expected Utility model is not observed empirically.

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