Real-time estimation and prediction of origin-destination matrices per time slice

Real-time estimation and prediction of origin-destination matrices per time slice

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Article ID: iaor19972388
Country: Netherlands
Volume: 13
Issue: 1
Start Page Number: 13
End Page Number: 19
Publication Date: Jan 1997
Journal: International Journal of Forecasting
Authors: , ,
Keywords: forecasting: applications
Abstract:

As part of the DRIVE-II project DYNA (Dynamic Network Assignment), an approach for the real-time estimation and prediction of origin-destination (OD) matrices per time slice has been developed. This method is useful to support real-time traffic management of a freeway network. The proposed indirect approach combines historical information with traffic counts at on-ramps. It has been tested on the Italian freeway A4, where the existing pay toll system enables us to measure the real origin-destination matrices. The results show that these prediction procedures can perform almost as well as direct prediction methods based on knowledge of the demand.

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