A study on the development of intelligent decision systems using influence diagrams

Intelligent Decision System supports the decision analysis process in the managerial problems with decision analytic knowledge as well as domain specific knowledge. Influence Diagrams have been one of the major knowledge representation in the intelligent decision system. In the development of intelligent decision system, knowledge acquisition is also known to be difficult. This paper suggests a developing tool using an influence diagram and Verbal Protocol Analysis which faciliates knowledge acquisition for intelligent decision system. An environmental decision making problem is used as an illustrative example and validation of the suggested developing tool is discussed. The suggested tool is very flexible to be expanded or applied to similar problems.