Reliable estimation via simulation

Reliable estimation via simulation

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Article ID: iaor19971616
Country: United States
Volume: 19
Issue: 1/2
Start Page Number: 169
End Page Number: 192
Publication Date: May 1995
Journal: Queueing Systems
Authors:
Keywords: queues
Abstract:

Let a and s denote the inter arrival times and service times in a equ1 queue. Let equ2, equ3 be the r.v.s. with distributions as the estimated distributions of a and s from idd samples of a and s of sizes n. Let w be a r.v. with the stationary distribution equ4 of the waiting times of the queue with input (a, s). The paper considers the problem of estimating equ5, equ6 and equ7 via simulations when equ8 are used as input. Conditions for the accuracy of the asymptotic estimate, continuity of the asymptotic variance and uniformity in the rate of convergence to the estimate are obtained. The paper also obtains rates of convergence for sample moments, the empirical process and the quantile process for the regenerative processes. Robost estimates are also obtained when an outlier contaminated sample of a and s is provided. In the process the paper obtains consistency, continuity and asymptotic normality of M-estimators for stationary sequences. Some robustness results for Markov processes are included.

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