Busy period analysis, rare events and transient behavior in fluid flow models

Busy period analysis, rare events and transient behavior in fluid flow models

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Article ID: iaor1997261
Country: United States
Volume: 7
Issue: 3
Start Page Number: 269
End Page Number: 299
Publication Date: Jul 1994
Journal: Journal of Applied Mathematics and Stochastic Analysis
Authors:
Abstract:

The paper considers a process {(Jt,Vt)}tÅ≥0 on E×[0,¸•), such that {Jt} is a Markov process with finite state space E, and {Vt} has a linear drift ri on intervals where Jt=i and reflection at 0. Such a process arises as a fluid flow model of current interest in telecommunications engineering for the purpose of modeling ATM technology. The apper computes the mean of the busy period and related first passage times, show that the probability of buffer overflow within a busy cycle is approximately exponential, and give conditioned limit theorems for the busy cycle with implications for quick simulation. Further, various inequalities and approximations for transient behavior are given. Also expected expressions for the Laplace transform of the busy period are found. Mathematically, the key tool is first passage probabilties and exponential change of measure for Markov additive processes.

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