On the development of manpower number and recruitment in the Civil Service

The paper presents a model for manpower planning which describes the dependence between stocks, flows and age distributions. An unbalanced age distribution results in the following conflict: either a recruitment is chosen which produces minimal deviations from a given stock. Then the unbalanced age distribution will be reproduced. Or a recruitment is selected which produces a balanced age distribution, but then oscillations of the stock will occur until a stationary age distribution will be reached. A mixture of these two recruitment policies is possible.