Models of exchange rates: A comparison of forecasting results

Models of exchange rates: A comparison of forecasting results

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Article ID: iaor198948
Country: Netherlands
Volume: 4
Start Page Number: 605
End Page Number: 607
Publication Date: Jul 1988
Journal: International Journal of Forecasting
Authors:
Keywords: financial
Abstract:

This note compares the results of several published papers on exchange rate forecasting. With regard to univariate time series models, it confirms the result that such models, on average, do not outperform the simple random walk forecasting rule. This conclusion corrects results reported in this Journal by Alexander and Thomas.

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