Article ID: | iaor198931 |
Country: | Netherlands |
Volume: | 4 |
Start Page Number: | 359 |
End Page Number: | 362 |
Publication Date: | Jul 1988 |
Journal: | International Journal of Forecasting |
Authors: | McNees Stephen K. |
Keywords: | economics |
This note offers several assertions-unsupported forecasts-about the future of macroeconomic forecasting based on recent experience in the United States. The remarks fall into three areas: (1) model building, (2) the role of ‘judgment’ in forecasting, and (3) forecast evaluation.