| Article ID: | iaor19941882 |
| Country: | Netherlands |
| Volume: | 57 |
| Issue: | 1 |
| Start Page Number: | 24 |
| End Page Number: | 31 |
| Publication Date: | Feb 1992 |
| Journal: | European Journal of Operational Research |
| Authors: | Cooke R.M., Bhola B., Blaauw H.G., Kok M. |
A method based on the notion of ‘calibration’ and ‘entropy’ for evaluating and combining expert opinions is used to aid management of projects at Delft Hydraulics, where a system of quantifying uncertainty as subjective probability has been under development since 1986. In this paper the authors report on the initial set-up and preliminary results.