The impact of reliability growth on spares provisioning

Reliability growth modeling can be a requirement when bidding on large military hardware systems. Under current reliability warranty legislature, the reliability growth model can be later translated into necessary reliability performance which must be demonstrated over an extended period of usage. In this paper the modeling situation is concerned with determining the number of spares needed to support a projected reliability growth both at the flightline and in a depot inventory. The model differs from existing models for logistics planning in that it allows for the phenomena of reliability growth. The model can also be used to determine central depot staffing requirements based upon a specified system utilization.