Approximating kth-order two-state Markov chains

Approximating kth-order two-state Markov chains

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Article ID: iaor1994260
Country: Israel
Volume: 29
Issue: 4
Start Page Number: 861
End Page Number: 868
Publication Date: Dec 1992
Journal: Journal of Applied Probability
Authors:
Abstract:

This paper, considers kth-order two-state Markov chains {Xi} with stationary transition probabilities. For k=1, it constructs in detail an upper bound for the total variation d(Sn,Y)=ΣxP(Sn=x)-P(Y=x)ℝ, where Sn=X1+ëëë+Xn and Y is a compound Poisson random variable. The paper also shows that, under certain conditions, d(Sn,Y) converges to 0 as n tends to •. For k=2, the corresponding results are given without derivation. For general k≥3, a conjecture is proposed.

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