On estimating survival for reliability models based on age-related stochastic comparisons

On estimating survival for reliability models based on age-related stochastic comparisons

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Article ID: iaor1994106
Country: United States
Volume: 40
Issue: 5
Start Page Number: 603
End Page Number: 615
Publication Date: Aug 1993
Journal: Naval Research Logistics
Authors: , ,
Abstract:

A new class of nonparametric reliability models is introduced and studied. A distribution is said to be better at age s than at age t (sBt) if the residual lifetime at age s is stochastically greater than or equal to the residual lifetime at age t. Applications to various forms of replacement policies, including the cannibalization of failed systems, are noted. For fixed s<t, the problem of estimating a survival curve assumed to belong to the sBt class is addressed using recursive methods. An sBt estimator is derived in closed form, and its uniform strong consistency at an optimal rate of convergence is demonstrated. A simulation study strongly supports the claim that the sBt estimator tends to outperform the empirical survivor function in small- and moderate-size samples.

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