The extremal index for a Markov chain

The extremal index for a Markov chain

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Article ID: iaor19932363
Country: Israel
Volume: 29
Issue: 1
Start Page Number: 37
End Page Number: 45
Publication Date: Mar 1992
Journal: Journal of Applied Probability
Authors:
Abstract:

The paper presents a method of computing the extremal index for a discrete-time stationary Markov chain in continuous state space. The method is based on the assumption that bivariate margins of the process are in the domain of attraction of a bivariate extreme value distribution. Scaling properties of bivariate extremes then lead to a random walk representation for the tail behaviour of the process, and hence to computation of the extremal index in terms of the fluctuation properties of that random walk. The result may then be used to determine the asymptotic distribution of extreme values from the Markov chain.

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