Lichtendahl Kenneth C

Kenneth C Lichtendahl

Information about the author Kenneth C Lichtendahl will soon be added to the site.
Found 6 papers in total
Ensembles of Overfit and Overconfident Forecasts
Ensembles of Overfit and Overconfident Forecasts
2017
Firms today average forecasts collected from multiple experts and models. Because of...
Quantile Evaluation, Sensitivity to Bracketing, and Sharing Business Payoffs
Quantile Evaluation, Sensitivity to Bracketing, and Sharing Business Payoffs
2017
From forecasting competitions to conditional value‐at‐risk requirements,...
Incentives in a Stage-Gate Process
Incentives in a Stage-Gate Process
2014
Many large organizations use a stage‐gate process to manage new product...
Is It Better to Average Probabilities or Quantiles?
Is It Better to Average Probabilities or Quantiles?
2013
We consider two ways to aggregate expert opinions using simple averages: averaging...
Multiplicative Utilities for Health and Consumption
Multiplicative Utilities for Health and Consumption
2012
Many challenging medical/financial decisions require a decision maker to express...
Preferences for consumption streams: Scale invariance, correlation aversion, and delay aversion under mortality risk
Preferences for consumption streams: Scale invariance, correlation aversion, and delay aversion under mortality risk
2010
Lifetime financial decisions often require a decision analyst to elicit a decision...
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