Armstrong J Scott

J Scott Armstrong

Information about the author J Scott Armstrong will soon be added to the site.
Found 5 papers in total
Role thinking: Standing in other people’s shoes to forecast decisions in conflicts
Role thinking: Standing in other people’s shoes to forecast decisions in conflicts
2011
When forecasting decisions in conflict situations, experts are often advised to...
Comparing face-to-face meetings, nominal groups, Delphi and prediction markets on an estimation task
Comparing face-to-face meetings, nominal groups, Delphi and prediction markets on an estimation task
2011
We conducted laboratory experiments for analyzing the accuracy of three structured...
Replications of forecasting research
Replications of forecasting research
2010
We have examined the frequency of replications published in the two leading...
The ombudsman: Verification of citations: Fawlty Towers of knowledge?
The ombudsman: Verification of citations: Fawlty Towers of knowledge?
2008
The prevalence of faulty citations impedes the growth of scientific knowledge. Faulty...
Polar bear population forecasts: A public-policy forecasting audit
Polar bear population forecasts: A public-policy forecasting audit
2008
Calls to list polar bears as a threatened species under the United States Endangered...
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