Ord J. Keith

J. Keith Ord

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Found 19 papers in total
Delivery performance in vendor selection decisions
2007
Increased reliance upon outsourcing has made the issue of vendor selection even more...
Prediction intervals for exponential smoothing using two new classes of state space models
2005
Three general classes of state space models are presented, using the single source of...
Exponential smoothing models: Means and variances for lead-time demand
2004
Exponential smoothing is often used to forecast lead-time demand (LTD) for inventory...
The impact of imperfect processes on production run times
2000
This paper investigates the interaction between the economics of production and...
Forecasting for inventory control with exponential smoothing
2002
Exponential smoothing, often used in sales forecasting for inventory control, has...
Forecasting models and prediction intervals for the multiplicative Holt–Winters method
2001
A new class of models for data showing trend and multiplicative seasonality is...
Automatic neural network modeling for univariate time series
2000
Artificial neural networks (ANNs) are an information processing paradigm inspired by...
Economic process control under uncertainty
2000
The future of the global industry lies in the continuous improvement of both products...
Analysis of a dual sourcing inventory model with normal unit demand and Erlang mixture lead times
2000
We consider an inventory model where two suppliers are used concurrently to replenish...
An inventory model with order crossover
1998
In inventory systems with stochastic lead times, it is possible that more than a...
An adaptive approach for modelling multiattribute choice
1995
An adaptive approach for modelling individual-level choice among multiattribute...
Dual sourcing with nonidentical suppliers
1993
The authors analyze a dual-sourcing inventory model with exponential lead times and...
Forecasting using automatic identification procedures: A comparative analysis
1989
The goal of automatic forecasting procedures is to select models which are as accurate...
A simple approximation to the completion time distribution for a PERT network
1991
A heuristic method for PERT analysis is presented, designed in such a way as to keep...
Sole versus dual sourcing in stochastic lead-time (s,Q) inventory models
1991
When supply lead times are uncertain, the simultaneous procurement from two sources...
Multiple sourcing: The determination of lead times
1991
In a multiple-sourcing environment, the order quantity may be split concurrently among...
Improving and measuring the performance of a securities industry surveillance system
1990
Recent disclosures of illegal trading practices in the securities industry have...
Future developments in forecasting: The time series connexion
1988
Relations between forecasting and time series analysis have been somewhat strained in...
Forecasting using automatic identification procedures: A comparative analysis
1989
The goal of automatic forecasting procedures is to select models which are as accurate...
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