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Yael Grushka-Cockayne
Information about the author Yael Grushka-Cockayne will soon be added to the site.
Found
4 papers
in total
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Ensembles of Overfit and Overconfident Forecasts
2017
Firms today average forecasts collected from multiple experts and models. Because of...
Quantile Evaluation, Sensitivity to Bracketing, and Sharing Business Payoffs
2017
From forecasting competitions to conditional value‐at‐risk requirements,...
Incentives in a Stage-Gate Process
2014
Many large organizations use a stage‐gate process to manage new product...
Is It Better to Average Probabilities or Quantiles?
2013
We consider two ways to aggregate expert opinions using simple averages: averaging...
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